Is Russia preparing a major strike? Expert estimates the maximum number of missiles the enemy could launch.

The Russian Federation is conducting mass attacks not only across Ukraine but also may carry out localized strikes.

This was stated by aviation expert Valeriy Romanenko in a comment to the YouTube channel RBC-Ukraine.

"For instance, recall the strikes from recent months, particularly those targeting Kyiv, while isolated launches occurred across Ukraine, including drones or missiles, and now the strike on Odesa. This is generally quite dangerous," Romanenko explained.

The expert noted that if there is a mass strike on a specific area, air defense systems may not always intercept all targets, as they are spread across the territory.

At the same time, he reminded that the number of intercepted cruise missiles is usually no less than 85%. This is despite Ukraine's large territory and major cities that also need protection from air defense systems. According to him, what is provided by partners is critically insufficient.

How many missiles can Russia use in total

Romanenko pointed out that the Main Intelligence Directorate had provided information regarding the production of Russian missiles. According to the expert, they reported that the Russians are focusing on ballistic missiles.

"They have ramped up the production of ballistic missiles - 'Iskander', 'Dagger' to about 40-50 missiles per month. This information is as of July 18. Taking parts of July, August, September, October, and November, that totals around 150 missiles. The stock at that time was at least that much. Although, if I recall correctly, it was about 190 missiles," he said.

The expert noted that they will not release all their stockpiles, but mentioned that they can have a maximum of 300-350 missiles.

Romanenko indicated that the Russians must keep some in reserve, but they could use up to 200-250.

Of course, this will not be a simultaneous launch. However, it is still only ballistic missiles. They also launch X-101 missiles at a similar rate, about 40-50 missiles per month. Additionally, they produce 'Kalibrs' and cruise 'Iskanders'. However, the quantities there are significantly lower, about half as much," he said.

How many missiles can Russia use at once

The analyst noted that the Russians also have X-22 and X-32 missiles, which they can deploy from Tu-22M3 bombers. Furthermore, according to the expert, the Russian military can also strike Odesa with 'Onyx' missiles, which are still being produced, albeit in smaller quantities.

Moreover, Romanenko stated that we should not forget about the 'Dagger' missiles launched from MiG-31 aircraft.

"Although the production rates there are quite unclear. GUR states that it ranges from two to six per month. That's a significant difference. Even if we take an average of 3 missiles per month, a dozen MiG-31s that the Russians can deploy simultaneously can participate quite actively in the strikes," he said.

In summary, Romanenko concluded that in the European part, the Russians have up to 20 bombers in operational condition.

"Tu-95... They can deploy a squadron, which is 9 aircraft. If they take 4 X-101 missiles each, that’s 36 missiles at once. Plus MiGs, plus ballistic missiles. This represents the maximum capabilities of the Russians. Additionally, they can minimally launch up to 150 'Shaheds' overnight," the analyst emphasized.

It is worth noting that Romain Kostenko, a people's deputy from the "Golos" faction and an active military officer, recently stressed that the Russians need certain conditions for mass missile strikes. More details about his statement can be found in the RBC-Ukraine article.

The Center for Counteracting Disinformation noted that Russia is already prepared for a new wave of mass shelling.