If Donald Trump wins the U.S. presidential election, he could either strengthen Ukraine with arms or attempt to persuade it to negotiate with Russia.
This is mentioned in a piece by RBC-Ukraine "Harris or Trump? How the U.S. Election Results Will Affect Ukraine".
According to Trump's advisors, American media reports that his "fair agreement" may involve freezing the war while establishing autonomous regions on both sides of a demilitarized zone.
Additionally, Ukraine will be urged to abandon its NATO membership, reconsider past Minsk agreements, and to wait until Russian dictator Vladimir Putin is no longer in power.
In the opinion of the head of the "Institute of American Studies," analyst Vladislav Faraponov from "Internews-Ukraine," it is difficult to say whether Trump's policy will take this form.
Firstly, he is capable of unpredictable actions. Secondly, if he becomes president, he will have the authority that could provide him with flexibility regarding what can be done to strengthen Ukraine.
"But we have yet to hear the main point from him. Is he willing to put pressure on Putin? And if so, to what extent and at what cost?" the analyst noted.
Meanwhile, Alexander Kraev, an expert from the Ukrainian Prism Foreign Policy Council, points out that one can judge Trump's intentions by his fundamental narratives, which are so contradictory that they indicate a single conclusion. His policy will be shaped entirely by his own visions and will literally depend on his mood on any given day.
"That he will push us towards negotiations is already a confirmed fact. And negotiations will be in the format of 'let's agree not to shoot, stop everything as it is, and conditionally start a new Minsk process.' This does not mean that he will stop aid amidst the negotiations. On the contrary, he has said he might provide more weapons. The situation in this context remains undefined," the expert believes.
In his view, discussing who is more acceptable for Ukraine is inappropriate since the U.S. president is elected by the American people. It is more relevant to analyze who poses a greater risk.
"Harris is less risky. Yes, she may take fewer decisive actions, but we know how to work with her and what to expect. With Trump, it's 'either you're with us, or you're against us.' Either he supports us and helps us win, or he is against us, and then we will face difficulties," Kraev explained.
The U.S. presidential election will take place on November 5. The candidates are current Vice President Kamala Harris (from the Democratic Party) and former American leader Donald Trump (from the Republican Party).
According to the latest poll, Harris is leading Trump in support levels in the so-called "swing" states. She has an advantage in four out of seven states.
For more information on what you need to know about the U.S. elections and when the results will be available, read the RBC-Ukraine article.